Ex Astris Scientia

Originally published in the Informanté newspaper on Thursday, 29 October, 2015.



Astronomy is the oldest of the natural sciences. When mankind decided that lifting their eyes up to the hills wasn’t enough, and aimed higher for truth, there they were – the stars. Our quest for knowledge about that which we could see, and that which we could not, has driven human civilizations to heights not dreamed of. But, as JBS Haldane noted, the universe is not only stranger than we imagine, it is stranger than we can imagine. We are still just scratching at the surface of what’s out there. 

 In 2009, the Kepler space observatory was launched, and one of the stars it observed was KIC 8462852, approximately 1480 light years from us. It’s a rather unwieldy name, but now, after a paper published on 17 October, it is colloquially known as Tabby’s star (after Tabetha S Boyajian) or the WTF star (Where’s the flux – Boyajian’s paper about the star.) Boyajian is part of the Planet Hunters project, a group of people analysing the fluctuation in the brightness of stars to detect extrasolar planets. 

Tabby’s star was different though. A planet the size of Jupiter would obscure the brightness of a star by about 1%, but on 5 March 2011, Tabby’s star had its luminosity drop by 15%, and by 22% on 28 February 2013. This was unprecedented, and some of the theories surrounding what caused it requires some background. 

In 1964, Nikolai Kardashev, a Soviet astronomer, proposed a method of measuring a civilization’s level of technological advancement based on the energy it is able to tap into. He proposed three categories – Type I, where a civilization uses all resources available on its home planet, Type II, where it harnesses the energy of its star, and Type III, where an entire galaxy is utilized. 

The American astronomer Carl Sagan expanded on his idea, suggesting intermediate values based on a logarithmic scale between these types based on the expected power outputs for the civilizations mentioned above. Type I would harness approximate 10^16 watts (10 to the power 16, or a 1 followed by 16 zeros), with Type II consuming 10^26 watts, and Type III 10^36 watts. Based on the total world energy consumption in 2012 (17.54 terawatts, or 17.54 x 10^12 watts) human civilization is currently a Type 0.724 civilization on the Kardashev scale. It is estimated that humanity will reach Type I in about 100 to 200 years.

Yet it was a few years earlier than Kardashev that Freeman J Dyson postulated about the hypothetical megastructure that would make a Type II civilization possible. In his 1960 paper, “Search for Artificial Stellar Sources of Infrared Radiation,” Dyson speculated about the increased energy needs of civilizations as they grow, and proposed a system of orbiting structures designed to collect all energy produced by a star, and how such a structure could be identified by its unusual emissions spectrum compared to the star.

His concept was popularized as a Dyson Sphere - a shell around the sun. Such a sphere would intercept the full 3.84 x 10^26 watts of solar power output (about 21 trillion times humanity’s current power output) with a surface area about 550 million times the surface of the earth. 



Such a construct is beyond our current capabilities, but Dyson’s original concept was actually what is known as a Dyson swarm – a large number of independent satellites orbiting in a dense formation around a star. A large cloud of such emitters could alter the light emitted by a star, and disrupt its luminance when observed from outside. And thus we are back to Tabby’s star, which experiences a significant drop in luminosity every 750 days.

Boyajian’s paper examined several hypothesis for this strange dimming, from instrument defects to an asteroid belt pileup and even impacts of a planetary scale. The most likely natural cause, she theorized, would be a close pass of another star that pulled a sea of comets into orbit around the star. Enough of them could cause this kind of dimming. But Boyajian only considered natural sources in her paper.

The SETI Institute has naturally taken an interest. The Search for Extra Terrestrial Intelligence has long been analysing the sky searching for radio waves indicating potential life elsewhere, and this has been one of the very few times they’re been approached by astronomers with data that is very atypical. On 19 October 2015 they had begun using the Allen Telescope Array to search for radio waves at frequencies associated with technological activity, with potential follow ups if something interesting is detected. Still, SETI’s philosophy is that the alien hypothesis is the last resort. 

Latest theories indicate that this phenomenon could merely be an artefact of the star having an oblate disc, resulting in gravity darkened regions and creating the non-uniform dips in flux, but so far, none of the theories have been verified.  It remains human nature to speculate, and, after all, if these are megastructures, they would have been built already in the 6th century CE. Only time will reveal what has happened since. 

The stars started us on our quest for knowledge. It seems they still have a few things to teach us yet.

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