The Restraint of Power

Originally published in the Informanté newspaper on Thursday, 28 July, 2016.

This week, President Hage Geingob opened his inaugural International Relations and Cooperation Policy Review Conference (renamed, along with the ministry, from Foreign Affairs when he assumed office), and he charted out a new course for Namibian diplomacy – a policy not only in line with Article 96 of the Namibian Constitution, but also a policy steeped in realpolitik, and a policy that speaks not only to our Namibian development goals, but also to the changing dynamics of international diplomacy.

His outline should be seen against the backdrop of the art of diplomacy itself, which, as a tool of statecraft, is actually quite a bit younger than most people assume. Up until quite recently, the main tool of human statecraft was war. But as humanity advanced, wars became costlier, and more ruinous to states. By the latter half of the 18th century, events unfolded that would start to change this. 

After fighting the Seven Years’ War and supporting the American Revolution, the French Empire was deeply in debt. King Louis XVI attempted to salvage the French economy by instituting an onerous tax regime, but this merely inflamed resentment of the populace, and resulted in the French Revolution. The First French Republic was formed in its aftermath, and this disturbed many of the old empires in Europe. The Revolution sowed the seeds of nationalism, but republics were still a new and untested form of government, and the French Republic soon collapsed. 

Out of its ashes, however, rose a Hero of the Revolution. Napoleon Bonaparte established a popular dictatorship, and with the people behind him, led the new French Empire and his Grande Armée on a war of conquest across Europe, with only Portugal, Russia and the United Kingdom left standing by 1812. But Napoleon made the fatal mistake of invading Russia, a move that has brought so many an army to its knees. By 1815, Napoleon was finally defeated at the Battle of Waterloo, and for the first time in 25 years, Europe was no longer at war. 

In the wake of the Napoleonic Wars, Europe had realised that continual war was threatening to unravel society, and set in place a system to prevent any further wars of that scale. The Congress of Vienna was the first massive meeting of ambassadors from all of Europe, dedicated to the single goal of establishing a lasting plan of peace for Europe. It aimed to resize the major powers to maintain a balance of power, and so prevent any single one from attempting to take over another.

This ushered in the era of Pax Brittanica and the Concert of Europe. With the United Kingdom established as the undisputed master of the seas, it’s Royal Navy could blockade any Empire that attempted to upset the balance of power, and the major powers could call a new congress, like that in Vienna, when any threat to peace arose. But no system is perfect, and less than 60 years later, it started to unravel.

Prussia rose as the most powerful of the German States, and in 1870, Prussia provoked France into an attack, and united the German states in an alliance. Having won, this alliance in 1871 declared Wilhelm I the Kaiser of the new united German Empire. The balance of power had shifted in Europe, and it has shifted precariously towards the Germans, and war. But the German Chancellor, Otto von Bismarck, was a shrewd diplomat, and worked tirelessly to maintain a network of alliances to keep the Concert of Europe intact. In order to prevent Germany’s economic rise from instigating war, Bismarck called the Berlin Conference in 1884, and the European powers organised their efforts to colonize Africa. The Scramble for Africa was on, and through that conference, Germany took control of German South-West Africa, now Namibia.

But the power imbalance could not be masked forever. With the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria in the Bosnian capital of Sarajevo on 28 June 1914, War engulfed Europe once again, and 5 years later, another treaty attempted to re-establish peace. Out of the Treaty of Versailles came another institution, the League of Nations. German South-West Africa was transferred under mandate to the British Empire, under the administration of South Africa. The League of Nations was to prevent wars by providing for the collective security of its members, and was the first institution specifically formed to maintain world peace. But with its powers principally vested in the Great Powers that comprised it, and the United States declining to join, it was doomed to fail. 

The Treaty of Versailles proved too onerous to provide a lasting peace, and less than 20 years later, the League failed to prevent another World War. The terrible destruction wrought by World War II, and the weapons of mass destruction developed during it finally made the world realise that war was no longer a viable option for statecraft if humanity was to survive on this planet. The successor to the League of Nations emerged in the aftermath of this terrible war – the United Nations. 

The UN has so far prevented another worldwide war in the past 70 years, though it is not without its faults. It successfully led the European nations to decolonize Africa and the rest of the world by granting the colonies independence, but when it attempted to assert directed control over Namibia in 1966, South Africa did not comply. It took more than 20 years to resolve after that, with much bloodshed in between. But Resolution 435 was finally implemented by 1989, and our country was born in 1990, on the back of diplomacy, not war. 


It took people a while to realise that war is always the same.  When you fire that first shot, no matter how right you feel, you have no idea who's going to die. You don't know whose children are going to scream and burn. How many hearts will be broken? How many lives shattered? How much blood will spill until everybody does what they were always going to have to do from the very beginning: Sit down and talk.

Our President was part of the independence struggle, but he was also part of the peace that followed. As one of the architects of our constitution, he had seen what lies down the other path, and chose a different course for our country. The Harambee Prosperity Plan is a child of conflict that wishes to live in peace. His International Relations and Cooperation Policy emboldens not only our country to live in peace and cooperation with our neighbours, but also invites Namibians to work together, in diplomacy, with one another and our neighbours. 

Henry Kissinger said that diplomacy is the art of restraining power. President Geingob aims to restrain the power of government, and give the Namibian people the power to achieve prosperity. When you fight for something, you’re never quite happy with what you get – you always want to fight to get more. But when you build something up for yourself, you love what you’ve built. Our country was born from diplomacy, and built up by Namibians. That’s why we love it so. Let’s keep that momentum going.

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