The Prevalence of Poverty

Originally published in the Informanté newspaper on Thursday, 9 February, 2017

Oxfam, a confederation of charitable organizations focused on the alleviation of global poverty, recently released a report with a rather disturbing statistic. In ‘An economy for the 99 percent,’ they revealed that just 8 men owned as much as the poorest 3.6 billion people on the planet. These eight, the report claims, are a symptom of growing income inequality in the world, and an obstacle to poverty alleviation. In order of wealth, they are: Bill Gates, Microsoft founder; Amancio Ortega, founder of fashion house Inditex; Warren Buffett, financier; Carlos Slim Helu, Mexican business magnate; Jeff Bezos, Amazon boss; Mark Zuckerberg, Facebook creator; Larry Ellison, Oracle founder; and Michael Bloomberg, former mayor of New York.

And yet… global poverty continues to decline despite these individuals’ massive wealth. In the last 25 years, the share of the world population that lives in extreme poverty (defined as less than US$ 1.90 per day) has declined from 35% in 1990 to just 10.7% today. Even sub-Saharan Africa has its share decline from a peak of 58.4% in 1993 to 41% today. Globally, the number of people living in extreme poverty has decreased from 1.85 billion in 1990, to just 766 million today – in 25 years, over 1 billion people have been lifted out of extreme poverty. 

 
The numbers show that a large number of those are, however, still in Africa. Those is extreme poverty are 383 Million in Africa, 327 Million in Asia, 19 Million in South America, 13 Million in North America, 2.5 Million in Oceania and 0.7 Million in Europe. But how many of these are in Namibia? Luckily, the Namibia Statistics Agency is on the case, and conducted a Namibia Household Income and Expenditure Survey in 2015/20-16, to update their 2009/2010 one. And they have released their preliminary Key Poverty Indicators.

In order to measure poverty, they established three different poverty lines. The food poverty line is defined as those persons unable to purchase enough food to sustain themselves, i.e. unable to buy 2100 calories worth of food each day. This was calculated to cost N$ 293.10 per month. In 2003, this meant 9% of the population, or 163 000 people in Namibia, lived below this line. Since then, this number has reduced to 5.8% of the population, or 31 000 people less. 

Then there’s the extreme poverty line, i.e. those living on less than N$ 389.30 per month. This measure by nature includes the food poverty line. In 2003, this amounted to 21.9% of the population, or 398 000 people in Namibia. By now, that has been reduced to 11% of the population, or about 147 000 people no longer living in extreme poverty!

Finally, we come to the standard poverty line – those people defined as being simply poor. This is defined as living on less than N$ 520.80 per month. In 2003, this amounted to a staggering 37.7% of the population – 685 000 people. Now, however, this has been reduced to a mere 18% of the population – a reduction of almost 275 000 people no longer living in poverty! 

Clearly, the Namibian government has done an outstanding job in reducing poverty here at home. Still, that 18% is quite a sizable 410 000 people in our country. We still have some ways to go, hence the Harambee Prosperity Plan. But what about that income inequality? Well, last time it was measured in 2009/2010, our Gini Coefficient had been reduced to 59.7 – we were no longer the country with the most unequal distribution of income in the world, and moved down to sixth place. There was much room for improvement, and improve we did. The latest figures show our Gini Coefficient down further, to 57.2. This means we’re now tenth in the world! We’ve moved up to better than Zambia! 

Well, with so much improvement, why then the alarmist nature of the Oxfam report? Perhaps it is because while the world certainly has improved for those living in developing countries, income inequality has increased among the developed nations of the world, and they are feeling the squeeze on the middle class there. In fact, while there were significant real income gains over the past 15 years for those from the bottom of the income distribution to the 80th percentile, those from the 80th percentile to the 95th received no gains at all – and that’s where the Developed middle class find themselves.

It is also a fact that humans are wired to pay way more attention to negative news than positive news – hence why I’ve seen little about the Key Poverty Indicators of Namibia over the past month. Media tends to focus on the negative news in order to attract eyeballs – and that’s not a balanced view of the world. On every day in the last 25 years there could have been a newspaper headline saying “The number of people in extreme poverty fell by 137,000 since yesterday”.

For example, Oxfam failed to mention that five of those eight richest people have signed The Giving Pledge, Bill Gates (co-founder), Warren Buffett (co-founder), Mark Zuckerberg, Larry Ellison, and Michael Bloomberg. That pledges them to commit more than half of their wealth to philanthropy. The total commitments under the pledge is already US$ 732 billion.
Two-thirds of the poverty reduction over the past two decades have come from economic growth. As Mr Buffet said, “In my entire lifetime, everything that I’ve spent will be quite a bit less than 1 percent of everything I make. The other 99 percent plus will go to others because it has no utility to me. So it’s silly for me to not transfer that utility to people who can use it.” It is time we harness the knowledge and experience of those who know how to create wealth if we want to create the growth required to do it. They seem to stand ready to help the world do just that.

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